acca refundsLay Sequential Lock In Accumulators

This Guide Explains How To Profit Using The Lay Sequential Lock In Method
Method Summary

This method is very similar to practice to Method 3 Lay Sequential in that we are laying each match in our accumulator, one by one.

This means we guarantee a £1.10 to £5.20 profit on every accumulator!

The reason for the range in profit is because your profit depends on choosing teams with low odds and close back & lay odds.

We guarantee a profit every time by making two changes to Method 3 Lay Sequential:

Firstly, before a team has lost, we 'underlay' each match, this means if the teams win, we make a profit.

Secondly, once a team has lost, rather than hoping the remaining teams win so we get a free bet as per Method 3, instead we 'underlay' now using the value of the free bet, so that if a team loses then we still make a guaranteed profit.

The upside is:

  • Risk Free - You will be guaranteeing a profit every time!
  • As Profitable - As profitable as Method 3 Lay Sequential, but without any risk.

The downsides are:

  • Time Consuming - You need to place a lay bet before each kick off until two teams have lost.
  • Less Profitable - Less profit than Method 1 No Lay (by £1 per £25 acca) and Method 2 (by 20p per £25 acca)
Expected Profit Per Acca

Your expected profit is the same as Method 1 No Lay, except for now we deduct the commission from the lay bets.

From reviewing the Acca Finder and doing some number crunching, on average you will pay around £1 commission per acca. This gives us the below expected profit:

Average back odds of 1.2 = £5.20 expected profit
Average back odds of 1.3£4.30 expected profit
Average back odds of 1.4 = £2.80 expected profit
Average back odds of 1.5 = £1.10 expected profit

Liability Needed

You will need sufficient balance in your Exchange to cover the amount of your accumulator winnings, less up to £5 (given this how we make profit if all the teams win).

For example, if your £25 accumulator has average back odds of 1.3, which is 3.71 combined odds, then you stand to win £68. The calculation for this is £25 * (3.71 - 1) on the bookmaker. Therefore, in your exchange you will need £64 (as the profit with average back odds of 1.3 is £4).

Here is the liability required based on the average back odds:

Average back odds of 1.2 = £32 liability needed
Average back odds of 1.3 = £64 liability needed
Average back odds of 1.4 = £106 liability needed
Average back odds of 1.5 = £162 liability needed

Pros and Cons

Pros

  • Risk Free - You will be guaranteeing a profit every time!
  • As Profitable - As profitable as Method 3 Lay Sequential, but without any risk.

Cons

  • Time Consuming - You need to place a lay bet before each kick off until two teams have lost.
  • Less Profitable - Less profit than Method 1 No Lay (by £1 per £25 acca) and Method 2 (by 20p per £25 acca)
  • Gubbing - A few bookmakers have noticed matched betters are placing accas where every game kicks off at a different time, so you may be more likely to be gubbed.

Got Questions?

There are 3 ways to ask for help with Team Profit:

Facebook Group - ask over 30,000 fellow matched bettors (including me!) any questions you may have. [link]

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